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Water, Water Everywhere

December 12, 2022 by bzawaski

Water, Water, Everywhere“Water, Water Everywhere, and all the boards did shrink. Water, Water, everywhere, nor any drop to drink” from ‘The Rime of the Ancient Mariner’ by 18th Century Poet Samual Taylor Coleridge. Although the Ancient Mariners of the 18th Century clearly understood that much of the earth’s surface was covered by water they quickly learned that a supply of life-sustaining freshwater was a scarce commodity. 70% of the earth’s surface is covered by water but, a mere 2.5% is freshwater with less than 1% easily accessible. The World’s population currently uses 30% of the available freshwater supply and according to the United Nations, water usage could run as high as 70% by 2050. It’s further said that by 2025, 1.8 billion people worldwide will live in areas plagued by water scarcity.

When demand for Real Estate exceeds available inventory it can be managed by building new homes. When demand for freshwater exceeds its capacity the solutions may not be as simple or cost-effective. If pressed to make a life-or-death decision, many would be quick to prioritize the need for life-sustaining water over the shelter of a home. What Real Estate & water flowing through it share in common is both are considered ‘Real Property. Often times the ‘Rights’ that go with a parcel of land, or property that includes a home, are taken for granted and the potential value remains just that, potential. 

Water Rights that can provide fresh Springwater for consumption, as well as the ability to irrigate crops, can rival or exceed the value of the adjoining land in many cases. In Oregon, a water Right is authorized by the State Water Resources Department (OWRD). Requirements for issuance of a ‘Water Right’ before using surface water have been in place since 1909 and groundwater permits were first issued in 1955. The doctrine of “Prior Appropriation” is a system wherein it’s basically one of first come, first served. In times of shortage, the “Senior” water right holder is entitled to take all the water needed before the next “Junior” water right holder is served. With only a few exceptions, Oregon law provides that all water is publicly owned. Water Rights with a “Priority Date” that predates any “Junior” water rights holders can add additional value under our “Prior Appropriation” doctrine. 

Real Estate has remained an excellent long-term investment, however, it’s not immune to cyclical changes in the market. Hedging one’s investment by utilizing valuable resources such as water can be just the right solution. Water and its importance to our survival have been referred to as a ‘Human Right’ thus, it will always be in demand. If you’ve wondered what one of the few prognosticators who saw the housing collapse of 2008 coming is doing today, after making $2,690,000,000 for his clients by ‘shorting’ the housing market, Dr. Michael Burry is focusing all of his tradings on one commodity: Water. 

Bob Zawaski G.R.I.

Oregon Licensed Principal Broker

Investors Trust Realty

 

 

 

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Filed Under: Buyers, Investment Properties, Real Estate Best Practices, Real Estate Education, Sellers Tagged With: Big Short, bob zawaski, freshwater, Investors Trust Realty, Mike Burry, real estate, Real Property, Short, The Big Short, water, Water Rights

Selling Your Home and Buying Another

November 10, 2017 by bzawaski

Selling your Home and buying another can be a challenge, especially in a market with an inventory of just 2.3 months (the amount of time it would take to deplete all listings if no new listings were added) as is the case here in the Portland, OR metro area.  Inventory below 6 months is indicative of an appreciating market thus, 2.3 would suggest it’s a Seller’s market. Despite very little change in inventory from the last time I blogged on this issue (September of 2015 when it was 1.9 months) in Transitioning Between Houses we’ve come a long way in bringing back the simultaneous closing of one house to another that was commonplace a decade ago. 

Transitioning Between Houses

Transitioning Between Houses

 As is the case with the Stock market where sentiment towards the events of the day shapes its ups & downs,  Real Estate is not solely reliant upon Buyers & sellers simply taking statistical market data at face value. The slight gain in inventory we’ve seen in September of 2017 versus that of 2015 would suggest we should be going at roughly the same level of appreciation yet, we’re clearly not. The typical slowing down of the market that we see mid-summer seemingly came as no secret to buyers this past year thus, their sentiment was heard loud & clear. Price reductions, discounts, and repair negotiations became more commonplace than in the last two years. That’s not to say that we’re headed in a rapid decline but, perhaps a correction of sorts after a couple of years that saw Portland as one of the leading major metropolitan areas in appreciation. Does this mean the Seller will be more receptive to Contingent offers? Perhaps in some cases, they will but, there have been some changes on the lending side of the equation that may give hope to those who have little or no reservations about selling their home but, wonder if they can find a replacement home when they become buyers themselves.

The stumbling blocks to bridging the gap have typically included expensive Bridge loans or a refinance with all the costs & fees in order to rid the borrower of the ‘temporary’ financing utilized in order to circumvent buying in a Seller’s market. Whether we are still in a Seller’s market or witnessing a correction remains to be seen but, certain lenders have created products in response to the needs of today’s borrowers. According to the National Association of REALTORS, 68% of buyers are buying a home at least for the second time thus, one would assume many of them have a home to sell. Although much more than a stop-gap measure, Guild Mortgage lender John Bruce has successfully linked several of my clients with the Guild 1% Down program as an alternative to those who might be cash-strapped yet, want to purchase their next home in advance of selling their own. With market rates and competitive Mortgage Insurance the borrower truly has an option that includes keeping this loan in place as opposed to viewing it as an expensive temporary measure such as a bridge loan or traditional refinance. In addition, a recast or virtually cost-free version of a traditional refinance after purchase allows those whose qualifying numbers might be too tight, and/or whose cash for a down payment is problematic, without selling first. Of course, flexibility in underwriting has also created opportunities for borrowers where none may have existed just a couple of years prior.

Having the resources available from the lending side, as well as a thumb on the pulse of the market from the Broker’s side are what we bring to our clients at Investors Trust Realty.

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Filed Under: Buyers, Houses, Moving, Real Estate Best Practices, Real Estate Education, Sellers Tagged With: blog, bob zawaski, Buyers, Investors Trust Realty, itrustblog, itrustrealty, real estate, Sellers

When is Cash no longer King ?

February 8, 2017 by bzawaski

When is cash no longer king ? When is cash no longer King for Oregon home buyers & sellers? It’s not likely sellers will ever lose an affinity for accepting an all-cash offer on their property. It’s equally true that buyer’s with the financial resources to make an all-cash offer will continue to do so with the knowledge that their offers will be accepted more readily. That eagerness by a seller to accept cash in lieu of a financed offer is due in part to the elimination of concerns over the buyer’s qualifications becoming an issue as underwriting examines their file in greater depth. In addition, an appraisal value shortfall can result in going back on the market with all the most interested buyers long since gone.

Potentially compounding an appraisal issue based on value and/or conditions is the wait…Oregon is ranked 50th in regard to appraisal turn time. In a market with as little inventory as we currently have, waiting 30 + days for an appraisal turn can make a once highly sought-after listing old news. When Is Cash No Longer King ?There certainly are enough considerations from the buyer’s qualifications coming into question during a transaction to issues related to appraisals that would make any rational seller seek out the easiest path to the closing table. What about those sellers who don’t necessarily consider being separated from those issues to be ‘priceless’?  Would sellers entertain the possibility of accepting a financed offer over cash, if the price were right? It all depends on a seller’s comfort level with their knowledge of how financed offers work. In most cases that knowledge is going to come in a crash course from their Broker as it may be the first transaction the seller has dealt with recently, or ever. Most likely, the difference between cash & financed offers isn’t something a seller will have considered until the very moment it’s presented to them.

What due diligence should a listing Broker employ when analyzing a buyer’s offer with a seller? Regardless of whether it’s to make a determination about weighing the merits of financed versus cash, it should be standard practice to contact the lender directly to get as much insight about the buyer & lender as both. Unfortunately, the percentage of listing Brokers who contacts the buyer’s lender directly in order to verify information already stated on a Pre-approval letter, or gather additional insight about the buyer, is a mere fraction of what it should be. I would venture to say that when I’m representing a buyer whose offer is being seriously considered that our lender is contacted by the listing Broker less than 10% of the time. That may in part be due to my making a good case for my buyer clients & the listing Broker feeling all the issues have been satisfactorily addressed but, there are always pieces to the puzzle that can only be solved with the lender’s input.

Having a pre-approval in hand gives us a head start in dissecting the appraisal process and possibly putting to rest some of the concerns that might cause a seller to dismiss a financed offer in lieu of cash. Knowing the difference between Mortgage Brokers, Mortgage Bankers & Commercial lenders will be the very first consideration for the seller to take into account when presented with a financed offer. This not only gives the listing Broker the opportunity to educate the seller on differences that can truly separate one from the other but, it also should be the first subject to the table with the lender. Commercial lenders, or the big Banks that You and I may have our checking and savings accounts with, are required to use an appraiser from the Statewide pool on a first come first serve basis. In Oregon, we’re just shy of 1,500 appraisers Statewide thus, the first challenge is hopefully getting someone who is somewhat familiar with the neighborhood in which they are being asked to make a value judgment. Secondarily, the sheer volume of appraisals being ordered by large commercial banks creates a backlog that is compounded by an antiquated compensation system that many times hinders the capabilities of those appraisers in making adjustments when the value has come into question. Appraisers are exceedingly well-educated in their field thus, the vast majority of challenges they face are due to regulatory  & industry demands that simply haven’t kept pace with the times. On the flip side of the coin are Mortgage brokers & bankers who may work under local Company names you’re familiar with, some being rooted here in Oregon while others have a National presence. This would be the opportunity for a listing Broker to inquire as to the working relationship the lender has with its much smaller pool of appraisers. Better yet, would be to leave open the opportunity for that lender to boast about the excellent relationship they have with their appraisers and the quick turns they are accustomed to. Obviously, the lender feeling a sense of pride in their working relationship with their appraisal pool and offering evidence of results without being prompted to do so may go a long way toward a more favorable view of a financed offer. Of course, this requires the listing Broker to exercise due diligence on behalf of their seller clients above & beyond the listing and marketing of their property that resulted in a multiple offer scenario.  Utilizing Social Media to gain optimal exposure, as well as marketing to cooperating Brokers via  Maximizing Multiple Listings are critical components to getting a seller to a position where multiple offers are a factor. The value derived from those first two steps is unfortunately the final ‘resting place’ for some listing Brokers who may feel their duties to the seller have been satisfied by having multiple offers on the table. It’s at this point that a Broker truly can determine his or her own value to the seller by providing Negotiation insights that outline options and considerations far above & beyond simply being presented with an offer(s) and directed to the location on the first page that states the offered sales price.

In order to provide a seller with as much pertinent information to make an informed decision, be it which offer to accept or whether a financed offer should be given more weight in comparison to cash, it’s important to know something about the makeup of that particular buyer. In addition, creating a scenario of some common traits that cash buyers sometimes exhibit can be helpful to a seller. As was mentioned earlier, buyers with cash resources do have certain expectations that go along with their offers. In addition to the knowledge that their offer has a greater likelihood of being accepted there is also a realization that their capability to close sooner & avoid financing issues is looked upon favorably by most sellers. Each & every cash buyer places a different value on his/her ability to put to rest some of the seller’s concerns. Exercising due diligence above & beyond simply reviewing the buyer’s proof of funds statement can be a crucial part of the decision as to whether or not cash is truly king in all cases. On numerous occasions, I’ve had Buyer’s Broker’s casually stated that their cash buyers had just terminated a transaction prior to this one and it was ‘easy to do because it was cash’. In reality, it really isn’t any easier to do but, that mindset is the key component here for the seller to consider, once it’s conveyed by the listing Broker. Of course, all this wouldn’t take place if it were simply left to telling all the buyer’s Brokers to bring their ‘Highest & Best Offers’ and have no conversations above & beyond that. Unfortunately, that is all too often what takes place.

Having an understanding of how an appraiser views a home & subsequently makes a value determination is vitally important information to convey to a seller. Deciding between taking the seemingly easier road with cash versus a financed offer that may ‘net’ tens of thousands more to a seller requires serious discussion based upon revisiting comparable sales. In addition to the due diligence required to make this call, it may also bring into question the listing Broker’s original comparable sales. Unfortunately, as is all too often the practice of some Brokers to ‘shut it down once offers have been received, there may also be a reluctance to revisit comparable sales for a variety of reasons, none of which benefits the seller.

Cash certainly has its advantages however, its uses are determined by the holder of those funds, Determining what other motivations they may have for purchasing this property, whether have they purchased others with cash, whether have they been successful, etc. Creating a profile of a cash buyer can be vitally important information in helping the seller predict how they might act in a transaction.

Ultimately the choice as to whether a seller should accept a financed offer when a cash offer is also on the table has much more to do with merely a difference in price. An understanding of the market, appraisal of common practices, and an ability to ask questions to gain helpful insight about parties to the transaction are vitally important factors. With over two decades in the industry, I pride myself on having developed a knowledge base of issues and an ability to act in a beneficial way on behalf of my clients. If your looking for superior representation in your next purchase or sale I would be glad to meet with you to see how we might work together.

 

Bob Zawaski G.R.I.

Oregon Licensed Principal Broker

Investors Trust Realty

 

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Filed Under: Buyers, Real Estate Best Practices, Real Estate Education, Sellers Tagged With: blog, bob zawaski, Cash, Cash is King, Home Sales, Investors Trust Realty, itrustblog, King, real estate

About Us

Bob Zawaski G.R.I.   I take a truly consultative approach to working with my clients to ensure satisfaction. I start by defining your needs and objectives. Whether you are looking for your first home or looking for an investment that … Read more...

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